Month: October 2015
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EXXON’s failure in climate affairs
EXXON’s failure in climate affairs
[h/t Dave; Ref.: http://www.exxonmobilperspectives.com/2015/10/21/when-it-comes-to-climate-change-read-the-documents/ ] Excerpt
EXXON’s fault is not strongly opposing a meaningless language with regard what ‘climate’ is, but accepting that. WMO/IPCC regard that
“ Climate as the statistical description in terms of the mean and variability of relevant quantities over a period of time ranging from months to thousands or millions of years.” (IPCC, AR5, 2013, Glossary, p. 1450) What are “relevant qualities …from months to millions of years”.
How can science work and communicate with the general public, politics, and skeptics with such nonsense?
According the Glossary of the American Meteorological Society (AMS), the “weather” depend on what you are looking for:
____The “present weather” table consists of 100 possible conditions,
____the “past weather” comprise 10 aspects, while
____”layman weather”, covers merely temperature, humidity, precipitation, cloudiness, visibility, and wind.
Even if the AMS-Glossary is silent on “future weather”, the nonsense gets a face. Who is making the selection? Who decides over the period of time, and the length of a data series.
It should not be such a surprise that discussing ‘climate’ has been so unproductive over the last 30 years. EXXON is acting globally, has top lawyers, scientists, engineers and enough money to require and support a clear and indubitable terminology in an area of paramount importance.
EXXON could have done better.
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Hurricane Patricia: ‘strongest ever’ storm hits Mexico now! California had four in September 1939
A serious EL Niño event is active! Strongest hurricane ever recorded, Patricia is expected Friday 23. October 2015
__Hurricane Patricia: Mexico awaits ‘strongest ever’ storm (BBC: 23/10 ,16h UTC)
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-34614864
How was it in California September 1939, with four storms, heat wave, heavy rain and ….the only tropical storm to make landfall in California in the twentieth century…… A serious EL Niño event was active! Science never investigated this matter seriously. Read more: http://www.seaclimate.com/c/c4/c4.html (Ch. C4 d), & http://www.wrcc.dri.edu/enso/tropstorm.nws // Credit & more : http://www.ocean-climate-law.com/12/arch/18a.html
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Make statistics stupid? Drives atmosphere climate?
Climate variability in the North Atlantic is atmosphere driven a new study claims. [ScienceDaily, 15 October 2015] explaining: that the pattern of the AMO*) can be accounted for by atmospheric circulation alone, without any role for the ocean circulation.
Is that serious? The AMO pattern is based on statistical analyses of observational and proxy climate data. If the study compares climate models that include ocean circulation with climate models that have no ocean circulation, and concludes that ocean circulation may not play as prominent a role as previously thought, the researcher ignore the difference in dimension involved. The correlation between sea and air is about 1:1000. Small difference (howsoever explained) not rectify to question that the North Atlantic is the principle driver of regional temperatures and weather.
*) AMO – Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation.
ScienceDaily : University of Miami Rosenstiel School of Marine & Atmospheric Science. “New study questions long-held theories of climate variability in the North Atlantic: Atmosphere appears to drive decades-long climate variations.” ScienceDaily, 15 October 2015. www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2015/10/151015144804.htm
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