Weather will get interesting over the next months. Speculations are high. A rapidly strengthening El Niño event
will likely peak later this fall as one of the strongest El Niño event ever observed (24/09).
There is an approximately 95% chance that El Niño will continue through Northern Hemisphere winter 2015-16, gradually weakening through spring 2016 (NOAA). What does this mean for the upcoming winter season? That is the big question!
For Europe the risk of a colder is currently considered small, predicted UK-MetOffice recently. The GUARDIAN offers more options;
• 10 September: El Niño expected to hit US hard, but not enough to ease California drought. Climate officials warn winter’s weather pattern likely to be one of the strongest as effects are likely to be felt from December to March
• 17 September : The world has experienced record-breaking warmth every month so far this year, and Noaa scientists say global warming and El Niño are the cause
• 21 September: El Niño: a global weather event that may save California — and destroy the tropics.
The SST-Anomaly map indicates to two further areas of interest, with too warm SST in the Eastern North Pacific , and too cold SST in the North Atlantic. What is at stake? How will the winter 2015/16 be in North America, in Europe, and Siberia?
NOAA: : http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.html
17. September : http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/sep/17/2015-hottest-year-on-record-noaa
21. September: http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/sep/21/el-nino-weather-save-california-destroy-tropics